How to Read the Predictions Scorecard
The Signalmap predictions scorecard tracks 64 active predictions with full rationale, confidence scores, and resolution status. Here is how to read it.
The Fields Explained
Exchange: Which exchange the prediction is about.
Prediction: What we predict will happen (specific and testable).
Confidence: The probability we assign based on signal strength and historical precedent.
Horizon: The time window in which we expect the prediction to resolve.
Status: Active (monitoring), Announced (correct, exchange confirmed), Correct (independently verified), Incorrect (did not resolve as predicted).
How to Filter
Filter by exchange to see all predictions for a specific platform. Filter by confidence (80%+) for our highest-conviction calls. Filter by horizon to see predictions expiring soon.
How to Use for Decision-Making
Use high-confidence, short-horizon predictions as near-term signals. Use medium-confidence, longer-horizon predictions for directional awareness. Never treat any single prediction as a certainty — use the portfolio of signals.
The Track Record
83% accuracy on 12 resolved predictions. 10 correct, 2 incorrect. Full history is visible on the scorecard — we do not remove incorrect predictions.